Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.221765 0.258359 0.301207 0.355625 0.423681 0.507047 0.618578
2025-02-16 0.167946 0.213530 0.273677 0.361136 0.489159 0.676833 0.987682
2025-02-23 0.136514 0.184610 0.253813 0.365435 0.551216 0.870108 1.519340
2025-03-02 0.115655 0.163810 0.237853 0.367605 0.608198 1.084035 2.270723
2025-03-09 0.100148 0.147041 0.223028 0.365528 0.655290 1.306746 3.292370
2025-03-16 0.087610 0.132319 0.207854 0.357587 0.686851 1.516987 4.593774
2025-03-23 0.080550 0.125193 0.203923 0.369382 0.765675 1.905517 7.317036
2025-03-30 0.072376 0.114817 0.192021 0.361434 0.794535 2.179240 10.370434
2025-04-06 0.067133 0.108813 0.187162 0.367303 0.862470 2.653775 16.762529
2025-04-13 0.061618 0.101551 0.178568 0.362350 0.898447 3.055222 25.478932
2025-04-20 0.057975 0.097303 0.175329 0.369445 0.975816 3.750377 46.209882
2025-04-27 0.055173 0.094295 0.174149 0.381477 1.077615 4.755518 99.456865
2025-05-04 0.052280 0.090846 0.171659 0.390066 1.176563 5.995677 251.308468
2025-05-11 0.049857 0.088074 0.170288 0.401747 1.298787 7.789403 966.232796
2025-05-18 0.047359 0.084865 0.167422 0.408440 1.407527 9.917431 6975.714180
2025-05-25 0.044909 0.081490 0.163661 0.411501 1.504642 12.442779 716626.492680
2025-06-01 0.042430 0.077803 0.158626 0.409264 1.576284 15.143534 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039860 0.073681 0.151982 0.400113 1.606391 17.521106 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038577 0.072258 0.151951 0.413805 1.784554 24.626821 NaN
2025-06-22 0.036415 0.068682 0.145906 0.404592 1.814513 28.771103 NaN
2025-06-29 0.035085 0.066872 0.144282 0.411401 1.962688 39.402453 NaN
2025-07-06 0.033381 0.064062 0.139642 0.405656 2.018837 48.270532 NaN
2025-07-13 0.032312 0.062635 0.138596 0.413886 2.196203 70.153951 NaN